Dan Hoffman details Russian threats to Europe amid Ukraine war
Former CIA Station Chief Dan Hoffman analyzes Russia's tactics and intentions amidst the ongoing Ukraine war. Hoffman discusses fears of Vladimir Putin expanding hybrid operations beyond military attacks to European capitals, including violating Baltic airspace and targeting the U.K. Prime Minister's office. He emphasizes the need for NATO unity and intelligence sharing to deter further Russian aggression.
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Russia’s threat of "consequences" against Britain and a stark warning from a senior Polish defense official are intensifying concerns that Moscow could seek to test NATO directly as the war in Ukraine continues.
Polish Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk said his country is actively preparing for the possibility of conflict, telling Super Express in an interview published Aug. 17: "We are preparing for war, hoping that it never happens."
The Polish Embassy in Washington told Fox News Digital that Warsaw’s accelerated defense preparations are intended to deter potential aggression rather than signal that conflict is inevitable.
RUSSIA PREPARING HYBRID ATTACKS ON NATO'S EASTERN FLANK, INTELLIGENCE WARNS
Polish soldiers stand watch near the Belarus border, where officials say migration pressure has evolved into a form of hybrid warfare targeting NATO’s eastern flank. May 16th, 2026. (Efrat Lachter/Fox News Digital)
The embassy pointed to Poland’s defense spending of nearly 5% of GDP and invoked the Latin principle Si vis pacem, para bellum — "If you want peace, prepare for war" — saying that, given Russia’s war in Ukraine and what Poland views as Moscow’s imperial ambitions, strengthening deterrence is the country’s only sound strategy.
A European diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity, backed Tomczyk and said Poland sees a pattern of escalating Russian pressure across multiple fronts. "We are hurrying to be prepared for war since Russia is giving us and our neighbors constant signals that they want us back as their vassals, their colonial backyard," the diplomat told Fox News Digital.
The diplomat pointed to what they described as Russian disinformation campaigns, cyberattacks, sabotage efforts and repeated tests of Poland’s air defenses, as well as increasingly frequent nuclear rhetoric from Russian officials and propagandists.
"Altogether, it shows quite clearly that if Russia or Belarus saw any chance to attack Poland to destroy an obstacle to restoring the Soviet or Tsarist Russian empire in Eastern Europe, they would do it without hesitation," the diplomat said.
The diplomat added that Tomczyk therefore had "quite solid bases to state his prediction," while stressing that the concern was not rooted in hostility toward ordinary Russians.
"We want to have Russia as a good neighbor, business partner. We would like to host their tourists. We want to have a cultural exchange with them," the diplomat said. "But they — at least the imperialists who are the foundation of the Putin administration — would like to turn Poland, the Baltics and, of course, Ukraine back into their colonial part of Europe."
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A soldier launches an RQ-35 Heidrun drone used for reconnaissance and artillery fire correction in the Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine on Feb. 22, 2026. (Dmytro Smolienko/Ukrinform/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
Retired Air Force Gen. Philip Breedlove, who commanded U.S. European Command and served as NATO ’s Supreme Allied Commander Europe from 2013 to 2016, told Fox News Digital that Poland ’s warning reflects a concern shared by many former military leaders.
"It’s a problem that many of us are worried about," Breedlove said. "They’re trying to test the alliance: Is Italy going to go to war? Is Spain going to go to war? There are several places where Russia could try to snatch something. Their goal is to divide and ultimately break up the alliance."
Breedlove warned Moscow could attempt a provocation calibrated to create uncertainty over whether NATO should respond collectively.
"It is likely that Russia will try to initiate a provocation that is just enough to raise the question of a NATO response," he said, arguing that Moscow’s objective would be to expose divisions among allies.
NATO’s Article 4 allows members to request consultations when an ally’s territorial integrity, political independence or security is threatened. Article 5 provides for collective defense following an armed attack, although NATO says Article 4 consultations are not a prerequisite for action under Article 5.
The comments follow similar warnings from other eastern-flank governments. The Associated Press reported July 15 that Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda said intelligence pointed to possible limited Russian attacks on critical infrastructure in the Baltics or Poland. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Warsaw was preparing "very intensively for various scenarios," according to AP. Russia rejected the allegations.
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F 16 fighter jets takes part in the NATO Air Shielding exercise near the air base in Lask, central Poland on October 12, 2022. (RADOSLAW JOZWIAK/AFP via Getty Images)
The warnings came as tensions between Moscow and London escalated Tuesday. Russia’s embassy in Britain threatened unspecified "consequences" after The Times reported British-made drones had been used by Ukraine for long-range strikes inside Russia, according to Reuters on Aug. 18. Britain’s Ministry of Defence did not confirm whether British drones were used, Reuters reported.
"London’s actions will inevitably carry consequences for which it will have to answer," the Russian Embassy said. The British defense ministry responded that Britain stood "shoulder to shoulder with Ukraine," according to Reuters.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov escalated the rhetoric later Tuesday, saying Moscow had the right to regard direct British involvement in strikes on Russian territory as participation in the war, according to Reuters on Aug. 18.
Separately, Russian state television host Vladimir Solovyov called for using Russia’s Poseidon weapon against Britain, saying: "Give the British three days to learn to breathe underwater, then hit them with Poseidon," The Times reported Aug. 18. Poseidon is a nuclear-powered, nuclear-capable underwater weapon that Russia said it successfully tested in October 2025, Reuters reported at the time.
Breedlove described the rhetoric as part of a broader Russian information campaign aimed at coercing Western governments.
NATO's largest annual maritime drill, Exercise Dynamic Mariner / Flotex 25, continues in the Gulf of Cadiz off southern Spain on March 28, 2025. NATO's Exercise Dynamic Mariner / Flotex 25, running from March 24 to April 4 in the western Mediterranean and Atlantic, involves six nations and 1,500 personnel. The drill strengthens cooperation, readiness, and maritime security while preparing the Spanish Navy for its NATO role in July. Turkiye will assume command of the Allied Reaction Force's Amphibious Task Force and Landing Force for the first time in July. (Photo by Burak Akbulut/Anadolu via Getty Images)
"Without question, Russia is fighting an information war and trying to achieve what practitioners call ‘reflexive control’ to try to force NATO capitulation," Breedlove said.
He argued that Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy, logistics and defense-industrial targets are creating growing pressure on the Kremlin and said Putin may increasingly seek to portray NATO itself as the external enemy.
Breedlove said NATO is capable of facing Russia in a conventional war but warned that the alliance faces a different vulnerability exposed by the conflict in Ukraine.
"What NATO is not ready for — and what the U.S. is not ready for — is the new kind of drone warfare that Russia is waging against Ukraine," Breedlove said. "Our air defense capabilities in the West are not even close to what is needed for the level of drone warfare that Russia is waging against Ukraine."
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A F 16 fighter jet takes part in the NATO Air Shielding exercise near the air base in Lask, central Poland on October 12, 2022. (RADOSLAW JOZWIAK/AFP via Getty Images)
Fox News Digital reached out to the Russian and British embassies for comment but did not receive responses in time for publication.
Reuters and the Associated Press contributed to this report.
Efrat (Effie) Lachter is a reporter for Fox News Digital with more than 15 years of experience covering conflict, global affairs, human rights and political accountability. She has directed and produced more than 200 documentary segments across more than 40 countries, documenting conflicts, humanitarian crises, corruption, human trafficking, gender-based violence and the human stories behind major world events.
Lachter’s reporting has taken her into conflict zones and crisis areas across the Middle East, Europe, Asia and Africa. Her work has included uncovering human trafficking networks, revealing an ISIS underground torture prison in Syria, documenting the war in Ukraine and interviewing senior political figures and world leaders. She was also among the Western journalists who entered Russia after the war began to bring testimonies from Putin’s opposition. Lachter is the recipient of the 2022 Peres Center for Peace Award and was a 2023–2024 Knight-Wallace Journalism Fellow at the University of Michigan. She also won two Rockower Awards for Excellence in Reporting. She holds a bachelor's degree in communication and a master's degree in political science.
